Nothing else will be the same.
We often hear and read that sentence. Because it is used in vain, to raise the dramaticity of an assessment of a major phenomenon/ event, in the coming.
But this time, it’s a big chance that the findings are completely valid. It coincides with early parliamentary elections, which will be held in Serbia this Sunday, on October 25th.
The power of incumbent Aleksandar Vuciqi, now nearly two years old, has been in agony since the Novi Sad tragedy (1 November, 2024), when the shelter of the main railway station building, turned in ruins, killed 16 citizens.
Vuciq survived all the shocking developments in the streets and squares of Serbia’s cities, which gathered hundreds of thousands of people to get to the big fight with Student Movement this Sunday.
They say it’s the Referendum, or the continuation of Vuciki’s power.
They also say that, in fact, these elections will not be solved by anything, because voting will be manipulated by power, electoral loss will not be accepted by either party (at least, if there are election frauds), how will anyone who has won and who has lost), and from Monday of October 26th, Serbian politics and society will enter the most dangerous stage since (several) the collapse of Slobodan Milosevic’s power.
They say, at last, that no version of the worst possible scenario can be expelled, while the likelihood of a moderate volume or epilogue is raised to zero.
What is expected, with great confidence, is a major exit of citizens to the polls, which could reach 70% as well.
That same percentage (evental) itself is, in reality, warning of major changes and fractures in Serbia.
But, on the other hand, such a large turnout in crucial parliamentary elections in Serbia is expected to have an impact, unfortunately, on representation of communities in the composition of Serbia’s new Assembly.
In Serbia, there is an election threshold for Serbian parties (of 3%), but not for parties/ coalitions representing communities. For them, the electoral threshold of 0.4% of the vote is worth, to ensure a mandate in the Assembly, which has 250 seats.
Political parties in the Presevo Valley have had two deputies in Serbia, while in recent years only one (Shaip Camberi, a valued and mature politician).
This time, the political subjects of Albanians will compete together, which itself represents value. There will be no loss of vote.
However, if, as already highlighted, stable estimates point to a high percentage of voter turnout, it means that as never before, Albanian citizens of the Presevo Valley (and those living in Kosovo but have the right to vote there) will have to mobilise to express their political will at polling stations.
In Kosovo, we all know this, communities have 20 guaranteed seats, regardless of the participation of citizens belonging to them in the election.
Such an example is for the region and beyond.
If this legal framework were valid in Serbia, Albanians would have two or three warrants guaranteed.
But we know what the political and legal reality is in Serbia.
It is the interest of Kosovo and Albania, for Albanians to be represented in Serbia’s Parliament, separately if the predictions, which were mentioned earlier, will be experienced for Serbia’s entry in a period of dramatic developments.
The signal where the truth speaks before the news!
Source Layer: Signal