A new survey shows that US President Donald Trump has more opposition than supporters in 39 American states and in all major states where close races are expected, a week before the Muslim elections, scheduled for November 3rd 2026.
The data comes from Caviq’s ongoing online survey, based on 133,869 responses by registered voters gathered from January 2025 to October 2nd 2026.
According to analysis NewsweekAt the national level, 34 percent of respondents approve of Trump’s work as president, while 60 percent do not approve. This gives him a net balance of approval of minus 26 percentage points.
In what countries does Trump have more support?
Trump continues to have the greatest support in countries where the Republicans traditionally dominate.
Wyoming ranks first, with a net positive balance of 18 percent, followed by North Dakota with 15 points, and West Virginia with 12 percent.
On the other hand, Montana is the only country where approval and disapproval are equal, up from 46 percent.
However, even in countries where support continues, Trump’s results have weakened compared to the beginning of his second term in January 2025.
Young, independent voters are more critical
Demographic data shows that young and independent voters are among the most critical groups against the American president.
Among voters aged 18 to 34, only 20 percent approve of Trump’s work, while 73 percent do not approve of it.
Even in voters aged 35 to 49, discontent is high: 66 percent do not approve of his work, while 26 percent support him.
As for independent voters, 65 percent are opposed to Trump’s work, and 27 percent approve of it.
Trump has negative balance in crucial states
In all major states where close races are expected to take place, Trump has a negative balance of approval.
Georgia: minus 25 percent
Michigan: minus 24 percent
Nevada: minus 24 percent
Pennsylvania: minus 22 percent
Arizona: minus 18 percent
Wisconsin: minus 18 percent
Ohio: minus 17 percent
Florida: minus 16 percent
North Carolina: minus 15 percent
This data does not directly show how citizens will vote for candidates for Congress, but reflect the political climate on the eve of elections.
Where’s the most support for Trump?
According to the analysis, net approval for Trump is the lowest in all states compared to January 20th, 2025, when he launched the second mandate.
The biggest declines have been recorded in some countries that previously strongly supported him.
In Kentucky, net balance has dropped from plus 23 to minus 10 percentage points. In Wyoming, it dropped from plus 47 to plus 18 points, while in Oklahoma from plus 31 to plus 4 points.
Texas and Florida have also seen significant declines. In Texas, the balance has gone from plus 6 to minus 21 points, while in Florida, plus 9 to minus 16 points.
What does the White House say?
The Trump administration has downplayed the importance of polls, referring to its victory in the 2024 presidential elections as evidence of citizens’ support.
White House spokesman Davis Inge has declared that Trump continues to focus on job creation, lowering inflation, and improving the possibilities for affordable housing.
The presidential election on November 3rd will determine the new composition of the US Congress.
Republicans aim to maintain its control, while polls are one of the political climate indicators ahead of the vote. /Telegraphy/